Model Sheet
Every game, the model's number vs the market
The model's number on every game, every day — the market's price beside it, and what cleared the bar.
Yesterday's sheet is below, free and already graded — every look the model made, wins and losses alike.
Unlock with PremiumYesterday's sheet — graded
Posted · frozen for the day
| Matchup | Odds | Model | Edge | Look |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NECHI | O 50.5 -113 U 50.5 -105 | Under 74% | +24.4 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
Model % is the model's number · Edge is the model minus the market's de-vigged % on the side the model likes best against the price — Look names that side · PASS = edge below the bar.
The model's looks: 81–82 (3 push) · last 30 days
Model output, not picks: a seeded simulation of every game, compared to the de-vigged market; looks are what cleared the stated bar, and every look is graded here.