Model Sheet
Every game, the model's number vs the market
The model's number on every game, every day — the market's price beside it, and what cleared the bar.
Yesterday's sheet is below, free and already graded — every look the model made, wins and losses alike.
Unlock with PremiumYesterday's sheet — graded
Posted · frozen for the day
| Matchup | Odds | Model | Edge | Look |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NECHI | O 50.5 -113 U 50.5 -105 | Under 74% | +24.4 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| CLEPHI | O 236.5 -106 U 236.5 -114 | Over 55% | +5.5 | Overlost |
| DENOKC | O 236 -110 U 236 -110 | Over 52% | +2.1 | PASS |
| ANANJ | O 6.5 -110 U 6.5 -110 | Under 52% | +1.7 | PASS |
| NSHBOS | O 6 -110 U 6 -110 | Over 71% | +20.8 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| FLAPIT | O 6.5 -135 U 6.5 +114 | Over 72% | +17.2 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| NYRTOR | O 6.5 -105 U 6.5 -115 | Over 67% | +17.7 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| SJOTT | O 6.5 -102 U 6.5 -117 | Over 66% | +17.5 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| LANYI | O 5.5 -108 U 5.5 -110 | Over 67% | +17.0 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| WPGDAL | O 5.5 -110 U 5.5 -110 | Over 73% | +23.3 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| MINCGY | O 6 -109 U 6 -110 | Over 63% | +12.7 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| CAREDM | O 6.5 -115 U 6.5 -105 | Over 68% | +16.6 | PASS |
| PASS — the gap was too large to trust; a market this far from the model usually heard news the model can't. | ||||
| DETVAN | O 6.5 -103 U 6.5 -117 | Over 56% | +8.0 | Overwon |
| UTASEA | O 6.5 -109 U 6.5 -112 | Under 51% | +1.0 | PASS |
Model % is the model's number · Edge is the model minus the market's de-vigged % on the side the model likes best against the price — Look names that side · PASS = edge below the bar.
The model's looks: 81–82 (3 push) · last 30 days
Model output, not picks: a seeded simulation of every game, compared to the de-vigged market; looks are what cleared the stated bar, and every look is graded here.